Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 1298.944581 1499.304357 1730.648252 2019.943655 2375.442464 2802.536066 3.361383e+03
2024-12-29 1025.143998 1277.214147 1599.819539 2052.376882 2686.662481 3569.593954 4.940549e+03
2025-01-05 855.462561 1111.249036 1457.953043 1977.916277 2767.371586 3975.099087 6.083157e+03
2025-01-12 736.820140 988.561332 1345.496560 1910.409031 2827.098065 4348.547533 7.301459e+03
2025-01-19 646.005788 888.934830 1245.876296 1835.947994 2847.830503 4648.832236 8.492906e+03
2025-01-26 611.443608 865.052706 1252.696818 1925.875334 3156.618912 5538.405387 1.126612e+04
2025-02-02 573.766265 830.770836 1236.903839 1972.713756 3396.168171 6369.562048 1.438722e+04
2025-02-09 536.405725 792.127544 1207.940415 1989.669330 3580.196471 7144.610314 1.787997e+04
2025-02-16 498.725970 748.687324 1165.005828 1972.770598 3690.010270 7788.269638 2.147871e+04
2025-02-23 478.476792 731.671590 1164.983625 2036.736608 3987.788526 9011.018617 2.814633e+04
2025-03-02 462.171558 719.436439 1171.491063 2114.075757 4335.987370 10527.177094 3.779553e+04
2025-03-09 443.683810 701.479936 1165.106504 2163.181002 4629.768080 12033.276748 4.973594e+04
2025-03-16 419.497244 672.214119 1135.976880 2162.833336 4810.570755 13323.692074 6.332728e+04
2025-03-23 403.004649 655.503588 1129.448916 2212.840475 5146.660286 15385.175144 8.752862e+04
2025-03-30 374.202388 613.646616 1068.700928 2127.494025 5075.124508 15862.459608 1.009039e+05
2025-04-06 349.406371 577.458533 1016.035205 2054.042323 5022.734468 16412.331504 1.173446e+05
2025-04-13 326.086348 542.461181 962.774443 1972.099972 4926.434588 16739.422403 1.332859e+05
2025-04-20 321.185548 542.186703 981.258354 2070.906561 5435.242452 20273.342459 2.130547e+05
2025-04-27 312.359242 533.557963 981.133991 2122.392438 5807.728505 23513.632176 3.243832e+05
2025-05-04 301.512136 520.118508 969.264064 2141.045026 6073.713092 26461.238976 4.783236e+05
2025-05-11 288.672840 501.813489 945.017781 2122.456749 6198.493376 28701.354289 6.646721e+05
2025-05-18 283.063558 497.717234 952.139523 2192.840211 6696.763538 34168.543879 1.239089e+06
2025-05-25 278.604162 495.622017 963.577570 2278.024494 7295.973663 41473.444758 2.748320e+06